必发指数:罗森博热度超高重防冷 都灵有望出正路
来源：新浪体育 2014-08-06 16:13:00
上期回顾：上周日胜负彩头奖开出百万大奖，阿贾克斯在大热之下输球，无疑形成了极大的杀单力。另外莫尔德和萨堡两场冷门，在必发成交情况上都呈现出大热迹象。相比之下巴甲赛果相对正路，弗鲁米、巴国际都属早期的低热成交方，最终两强都是以正路赛果收场。从周二战罢的四场欧冠来看，帕纳辛和特拉维是热度明显异常的两场比赛，主胜都接近了九成比例，两场冷门自然一致打出。里昂也在主胜高达87%的成交比例下打出冷平，也是在情理之中。
本轮异常提示：周四胜负彩将竞猜欧罗巴赛事，从目前必发市场的成交情况来看，有数场比赛成交热度都达到了九成以上，有过热的趋势。莫迪纳、黑海人和莫尔德都达到了95%左右，而罗森博格和里奥阿维更是分别高达96%和97%。从成交赔率区间来看，莫迪纳、莫尔德相对最低，黑海人次之，里奥阿维和罗森博格的胜赔都接近2.00，后两场自然是本期重点防冷对象。其余比赛中，热度正常的特尔纳、埃因霍与赫尔城都是胆材候选，都灵在极低成交赔付下也有望打出正路赛果。(盛亦发)
超级必发指数，由SPDEX必发指数网提供
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 864 |
| 1 | 黑海人 | VS | 斯普利 | $75 | 43% | $98 | 46% | $3,679 | 94% | 1.66 | 34 | 310 | 31 |
| $52 | 30% | $72 | 34% | $43 | 1% | 4.1 | 28 | ||||||
| $46 | 27% | $44 | 20% | $198 | 5% | 6.4 | 38 | ||||||
| 2 | 莫尔德 | VS | 卢甘斯 | $3,390 | 96% | $178 | 52% | $4,908 | 95% | 1.59 | 23 | 310 | 31 |
| $74 | 2% | $94 | 28% | $139 | 3% | 3.95 | 29 | ||||||
| $72 | 2% | $66 | 20% | $142 | 3% | 5.9 | 48 | ||||||
| 3 | 圣珀尔 | VS | 埃因霍 | $104 | 12% | $46 | 26% | $71 | 14% | 5.7 | 37 | 01 | 0 |
| $719 | 83% | $63 | 36% | $75 | 14% | 4.1 | 31 | ||||||
| $49 | 6% | $68 | 39% | $378 | 72% | 1.58 | 32 | ||||||
| 4 | 谢莫纳 | VS | 莫迪纳 | $31 | 1% | $97 | 6% | $421 | 2% | 10 | 55 | 013 | 01 |
| $49 | 1% | $97 | 6% | $660 | 4% | 5.2 | 26 | ||||||
| $4,592 | 98% | $1,305 | 87% | $17,391 | 94% | 1.39 | 19 | ||||||
| 5 | 罗森博 | VS | 卡拉比 | $1,735 | 92% | $83 | 33% | $3,891 | 97% | 1.88 | 63 | 103 | 103 |
| $75 | 4% | $95 | 38% | $59 | 1% | 4.1 | 22 | ||||||
| $75 | 4% | $72 | 29% | $63 | 2% | 4.3 | 14 | ||||||
| 6 | 克卢日 | VS | 明迪纳 | $1,700 | 94% | $70 | 33% | $112 | 40% | 1.96 | 58 | 31 | 3 |
| $49 | 3% | $71 | 34% | $104 | 37% | 3.65 | 22 | ||||||
| $53 | 3% | $71 | 34% | $62 | 22% | 4.4 | 19 | ||||||
| 7 | 特尔纳 | VS | 圣约翰 | $126 | 17% | $94 | 12% | $278 | 24% | 1.54 | 15 | 3 | 3 |
| $541 | 73% | $72 | 9% | $62 | 5% | 3.85 | 11 | ||||||
| $70 | 9% | $654 | 80% | $840 | 71% | 6.2 | 74 | ||||||
| 8 | 特海星 | VS | 美因茨 | $0 | 0% | $49 | 27% | $125 | 40% | 4.4 | 54 | 01 | 0 |
| $719 | 85% | $63 | 35% | $62 | 20% | 3.85 | 20 | ||||||
| $126 | 15% | $68 | 38% | $124 | 40% | 1.79 | 26 | ||||||
| 9 | 哈夫纳 | VS | 埃尔夫 | $46 | 21% | $46 | 26% | $194 | 2% | 3.1 | 22 | 013 | 03 |
| $72 | 33% | $46 | 26% | $8,795 | 96% | 3.8 | 56 | ||||||
| $97 | 45% | $83 | 48% | $213 | 2% | 2.32 | 23 | ||||||
| 10 | 赫尔城 | VS | 特伦钦 | $6,566 | 97% | $111 | 40% | $4,242 | 85% | 1.33 | 61 | 3 | 3 |
| $74 | 1% | $97 | 35% | $499 | 10% | 5.5 | 27 | ||||||
| $149 | 2% | $66 | 24% | $247 | 5% | 13.5 | 12 | ||||||
| 11 | 里 昂 | VS | 博莱斯 | $59 | 44% | $72 | 32% | $4,511 | 91% | 1.31 | 49 | 31 | 31 |
| $74 | 56% | $101 | 45% | $292 | 6% | 6 | 45 | ||||||
| $0 | 0% | $52 | 23% | $134 | 3% | 12 | 5 | ||||||
| 12 | 都 灵 | VS | 布鲁马 | $31 | 10% | $30 | 4% | $269 | 100% | 1.18 | 13 | 3 | 3 |
| $49 | 16% | $631 | 90% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 9 | ||||||
| $230 | 74% | $44 | 6% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 77 | ||||||
| 13 | 阿伯丁 | VS | 社 会 | $87 | 33% | $78 | 38% | $964 | 45% | 5.6 | 83 | 01 | 0 |
| $130 | 49% | $57 | 28% | $45 | 2% | 4 | 8 | ||||||
| $46 | 17% | $68 | 34% | $1,149 | 53% | 1.68 | 9 | ||||||
| 14 | 里奥阿 | VS | 哥德堡 | $33 | 4% | $54 | 30% | $3,147 | 96% | 1.89 | 6 | 013 | 013 |
| $719 | 89% | $72 | 40% | $62 | 2% | 3.8 | 14 | ||||||
| $55 | 7% | $54 | 30% | $62 | 2% | 4.4 | 81 |
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
初审编辑：张丽
责任编辑：王仕瑞
责任编辑：王仕瑞
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