必发指数：桑巴军团取胜无忧 克罗地亚重点防冷
来源：爱彩网 2014-06-06 16:03:00
上期回顾：14078期头奖开出百万大奖，德国和法国同时爆冷是当期最大的杀单场次。虽然该期必发指数栏目对法国冷平已有提防，但德国未能捕捉冷门，实属遗憾。从当期必发市场成交情况来看，德国和法国都是大热主胜局面，当然在这样的局面下打出冷门也并不意外。捷克VS奥地利，主胜早早录得大热走势，冷负打出也在情理之中。巴甲方面，克鲁塞在主胜只有38%的低热成交率下打出主胜赛果，桑托斯VS克里西这场强弱对话，主胜同样只有不足六成的成交比例，桑托斯同样也在主场拿下三分。
本轮异常提示：从周五彩对阵形势来看，由于涉及了多场优势对阵，自然大热比赛场次并不少。从成交赔率区间来看，德国、巴西、比利时、西班牙和阿根廷都是超低胜赔，冷门概率偏低，均可作胆。需要重视冷门的是克罗地亚和葡萄牙，两支强队不仅有较高的成交热度，同时还要可观的较高赔付，这两场自然也是本期的重点防冷对象。爱尔兰VS哥斯达黎加则是一场难点对阵，但在成交热度上明显倾于哥斯达黎加，这场需留意主胜。美国VS尼日利亚则呈现出平局大热的局面，走两头机会更大。(盛亦发)
超级必发指数，由必发指数网提供
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 384 |
| 1 | 克罗地 | VS | 澳大利 | $959 | 34% | $516 | 21% | $19,928 | 68% | 1.99 | 50 | 130 | 13 |
| $905 | 32% | $1,012 | 41% | $3,911 | 13% | 3.4 | 18 | ||||||
| $959 | 34% | $952 | 38% | $5,320 | 18% | 4.4 | 32 | ||||||
| 2 | 德 国 | VS | 亚美尼 | $28,138 | 98% | $45,382 | 96% | $61,813 | 99% | 1.09 | 86 | 3 | 3 |
| $310 | 1% | $1,951 | 4% | $104 | 0% | 12 | 2 | ||||||
| $310 | 1% | $174 | 0% | $239 | 0% | 30 | 12 | ||||||
| 3 | 巴 西 | VS | 塞尔维 | $105 | 14% | $4,837 | 89% | $292,092 | 98% | 1.24 | 86 | 3 | 3 |
| $203 | 28% | $517 | 9% | $4,578 | 2% | 7.2 | 8 | ||||||
| $426 | 58% | $91 | 2% | $1,665 | 1% | 17.5 | 6 | ||||||
| 4 | 爱尔兰 | VS | 哥斯达 | $225 | 16% | $395 | 52% | $1,067 | 14% | 2.94 | 14 | 310 | 31 |
| $406 | 30% | $85 | 11% | $3,999 | 54% | 3.5 | 59 | ||||||
| $738 | 54% | $274 | 36% | $2,310 | 31% | 2.78 | 27 | ||||||
| 5 | 墨西哥 | VS | 葡萄牙 | $1,993 | 58% | $1,065 | 29% | $2,789 | 19% | 3.4 | 23 | 310 | 30 |
| $328 | 10% | $1,307 | 36% | $3,592 | 24% | 3.4 | 29 | ||||||
| $1,086 | 32% | $1,297 | 35% | $8,498 | 57% | 2.46 | 48 | ||||||
| 6 | 比利时 | VS | 突尼斯 | $659 | 46% | $559 | 28% | $12,187 | 89% | 1.27 | 61 | 3 | 3 |
| $559 | 39% | $1,221 | 61% | $1,320 | 10% | 6.6 | 32 | ||||||
| $221 | 15% | $232 | 12% | $140 | 1% | 16 | 7 | ||||||
| 7 | 西班牙 | VS | 萨尔瓦 | $32 | 2% | $286 | 45% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| $32 | 2% | $260 | 41% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $1,595 | 96% | $86 | 14% | $3,395 | 100% | 1.07 | 100 | ||||||
| 8 | 英格兰[微博] | VS | 洪都拉 | $7,360 | 88% | $1,365 | 25% | $44,885 | 83% | 1.47 | 46 | 3 | 3 |
| $389 | 5% | $559 | 10% | $574 | 1% | 4.8 | 2 | ||||||
| $569 | 7% | $3,445 | 64% | $8,478 | 16% | 10 | 52 | ||||||
| 9 | 美 国 | VS | 尼日利 | $1,233 | 46% | $74 | 4% | $943 | 22% | 2.1 | 14 | 30 | 30 |
| $719 | 27% | $1,421 | 70% | $2,672 | 63% | 3.55 | 67 | ||||||
| $717 | 27% | $538 | 26% | $635 | 15% | 4.5 | 19 | ||||||
| 10 | 阿根廷 | VS | 斯洛文 | $15,369 | 92% | $1,164 | 42% | $29,590 | 99% | 1.27 | 94 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,075 | 6% | $991 | 36% | $176 | 1% | 7 | 3 | ||||||
| $222 | 1% | $633 | 23% | $62 | 0% | 19 | 3 | ||||||
| 11 | 磐 田 | VS | 水 户 | $105 | 25% | $129 | 29% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 31 | 31 |
| $211 | 50% | $211 | 47% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $105 | 25% | $105 | 24% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 12 | 京 都 | VS | 东 京 | $32 | 9% | $1,285 | 80% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 31 | 31 |
| $211 | 61% | $211 | 13% | $115 | 100% | 3.1 | 100 | ||||||
| $105 | 30% | $105 | 7% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 13 | 横滨FC | VS | 长 崎 | $105 | 25% | $105 | 24% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 013 | 013 |
| $211 | 50% | $211 | 47% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $105 | 25% | $129 | 29% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 大 分 | VS | 岐 阜 | $105 | 25% | $129 | 29% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 310 | 31 |
| $211 | 50% | $211 | 47% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $105 | 25% | $105 | 24% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
初审编辑：张丽
责任编辑：王仕瑞
责任编辑：王仕瑞
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